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Anders, Jake (Ed.)It is well-known that income can correlate with the academic performance of K-12 students in the United States (U.S.). However, the mathematical relationship between income and K-12 performance, and how it varies across states, remains poorly understood. To help fill this gap, this study examines the relationship between K-12 student performance scores (defined as the percentage of students meeting or exceeding grade-level expectations) and median household income, across more than 12,200 public school districts in 42 US states. The study focuses on performance in English Language Arts (ELA) and Mathematics in 3rd and 8th grades during the 2018-2019 school year. A number of different mathematical functions are explored to quantitatively characterize this relationship, and the best fitting functions are determined statistically. It was found that in about half of the states, the proficiency rate increases linearly with the median household income, while in the rest of the states the increase is characterized by a saturating function. Further, the results reveal that less affluent states exhibit a steeper increase in performance with income compared to wealthier states. Additionally, grade-level and subject comparisons highlight disparities, including a pronounced decline in math performance from 3rd to 8th grade in most districts. These findings underscore the correlations between socioeconomic factors and educational outcomes and the variations between subjects, grade levels, as well as locations. By expanding our understanding of these relationships, this research offers potentially useful mathematical methodologies for developing evidence-based, quantitative approaches to studying educational equity.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available September 10, 2026
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Abstract The HIV reservoir consists of infected cells in which the HIV-1 genome persists as provirus despite effective antiretroviral therapy (ART). Studies exploring HIV cure therapies often measure intact proviral DNA levels, time to rebound after ART interruption, or ex vivo stimulation assays of latently infected cells. This study utilizes barcoded HIV to analyze the reservoir in humanized mice. Using bulk PCR and deep sequencing methodologies, we retrieve 890 viral RNA barcodes and 504 proviral barcodes linked to 15,305 integration sites at the single RNA or DNA molecule in vivo. We track viral genetic diversity throughout early infection, ART, and rebound. The proviral reservoir retains genetic diversity despite cellular clonal proliferation and viral seeding by rebounding virus. Non-proliferated cell clones are likely the result of elimination of proviruses associated with transcriptional activation and viremia. Elimination of proviruses associated with viremia is less prominent among proliferated cell clones. Proliferated, but not massively expanded, cell clones contribute to proviral expansion and viremia, suggesting they fuel viral persistence. This approach enables comprehensive assessment of viral levels, lineages, integration sites, clonal proliferation and proviral epigenetic patterns in vivo. These findings highlight complex reservoir dynamics and the role of proliferated cell clones in viral persistence.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available May 1, 2026
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ABSTRACT Microbial communities are complex ecological systems of organisms that evolve in time, with new variants created, while others disappear. Understanding how species interact within communities can help us shed light into the mechanisms that drive ecosystem processes. We studied systems with serial propagation, where the community is kept alive by taking a subsample at regular intervals and replating it in fresh medium. The data that are usually collected consist of the % of the population for each of the species, at several time points. In order to utilize this type of data, we formulated a system of equations (based on the generalized Lotka–Volterra model) and derived conditions of species noninteraction. This was possible to achieve by reformulating the problem as a problem of finding feasibility domains, which can be solved by a number of efficient algorithms. This methodology provides a cost‐effective way to investigate interactions in microbial communities.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2026
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A major next step in hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) biology is to enhance our quantitative understanding of cellular and evolutionary dynamics involved in undisturbed hematopoiesis. Mathematical models have been and continue to be key in this respect, and are most powerful when parameterized experimentally and containing sufficient biological complexity. In this paper, we use data from label propagation experiments in mice to parameterize a mathematical model of hematopoiesis that includes homeostatic control mechanisms as well as clonal evolution. We find that nonlinear feedback control can drastically change the interpretation of kinetic estimates at homeostasis. This suggests that short-term HSC and multipotent progenitors can dynamically adjust to sustain themselves temporarily in the absence of long-term HSCs, even if they differentiate more often than they self-renew in undisturbed homeostasis. Additionally, the presence of feedback control in the model renders the system resilient against mutant invasion. Invasion barriers, however, can be overcome by a combination of age-related changes in stem cell differentiation and evolutionary niche construction dynamics based on a mutant-associated inflammatory environment. This helps us understand the evolution of e.g.,TET2orDNMT3Amutants, and how to potentially reduce mutant burden.more » « less
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Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2026
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Abstract The literature about mutant invasion and fixation typically assumes populations to exist in isolation from their ecosystem. Yet, populations are part of ecological communities, and enemy-victim (e.g. predator-prey or pathogen-host) interactions are particularly common. We use spatially explicit, computational pathogen-host models (with wild-type and mutant hosts) to re-visit the established theory about mutant fixation, where the pathogen equally attacks both wild-type and mutant individuals. Mutant fitness is assumed to be unrelated to infection. We find that pathogen presence substantially weakens selection, increasing the fixation probability of disadvantageous mutants and decreasing it for advantageous mutants. The magnitude of the effect rises with the infection rate. This occurs because infection induces spatial structures, where mutant and wild-type individuals are mostly spatially separated. Thus, instead of mutant and wild-type individuals competing with each other, it is mutant and wild-type “patches” that compete, resulting in smaller fitness differences and weakened selection. This implies that the deleterious mutant burden in natural populations might be higher than expected from traditional theory.more » « less
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We consider spatial population dynamics on a lattice, following a type of a contact (birth–death) stochastic process. We show that simple mathematical approximations for the density of cells can be obtained in a variety of scenarios. In the case of a homogeneous cell population, we derive the cellular density for a two-dimensional (2D) spatial lattice with an arbitrary number of neighbors, including the von Neumann, Moore, and hexagonal lattice. We then turn our attention to evolutionary dynamics, where mutant cells of different properties can be generated. For disadvantageous mutants, we derive an approximation for the equilibrium density representing the selection–mutation balance. For neutral and advantageous mutants, we show that simple scaling (power) laws for the numbers of mutants in expanding populations hold in 2D and 3D, under both flat (planar) and range population expansion. These models have relevance for studies in ecology and evolutionary biology, as well as biomedical applications including the dynamics of drug-resistant mutants in cancer and bacterial biofilms.more » « less
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